March 2022 is promising to be a monumental month with regards to airline and hotel loyalty. In March, American Airlines will complete their shift from offering elite status to flyers to rewarding elite status to customers. Also in March, Marriott will drop award charts, leaving Hyatt and Radisson as the last major hotel chain award-chart hold-outs. And Hyatt will celebrate that occasion by expanding their award chart with peak and off-peak (but more peak) award pricing and a painful category re-shuffling. But, lest you think the hotel landscape is all doom and gloom, both Marriott and IHG will soon (?) allow us to top-off our free night certificates with points! And, IHG is going much further by overhauling (for the better) their U.S. credit card benefits, and promises to overhaul their rewards program too (TBD as to how positive the latter will be, but I’m optimistic).
Alaska slides down a slippery slope
While March is the pivotal month, not all of the massive changes in the loyalty landscape are tied to March. Tim’s recent post about Alaska Airlines’ horrible Malaysia Airlines award prices shook me. Is Alaska’s vaunted Mileage Plan program heading towards the scrap pile? Here’s what Tim wrote in summary:
Each time Alaska rolls out a new One World award partner, I get shocked anew. In less than a year, Mileage Plan has clearly fallen from being arguably the best domestic program for international travel. While there are still terrific values to be had (although to currently hard to use destinations like Japan and Hong Kong), the continued pulverizing of the award chart seems to indicate that it’s only a matter of time before the remaining sweet spots are obliterated as well.
In other words, the latest salvo in Alaska’s downhill march happened recently, but the overall trend began much earlier.
Delta takes us on a roller coaster ride
While Alaska is seemingly headed in the wrong direction, Delta has made positive changes that will hopefully stick around long term, and hopefully spread to more programs. In March of 2021 (of course it was in March!), Delta made award flights desirable for elite members. They started by adding the ability to use upgrade certificates on award flights. That was huge! Next (but also in March 2021), they added the ability to earn elite status with award flights. In 2021 and again in 2022, award flights earn Medallion Qualifying Miles (MQMs) and Medallion Qualifying Dollars (MQDs) towards elite status. Delta hasn’t promised to keep this part past 2022, but I’m hoping they will. Prior to these changes, elite members had a strong disincentive to book award flights (at least for themselves). Now, we can freely spend our miles and earn status. That’s a great combination that ought to be mimicked by other programs.
Lest you think that Delta is the angel in my thoughts, consider that they massively raised award prices when flying partner airlines. It used to be the case that while Delta often charged exorbitant prices to fly business class on their own planes, it was fairly easy to get good value using Delta miles to fly business class on partner airlines. Now, except in very rare circumstances, that’s no longer true. At least we can drown our sorrows at Delta Sky Clubs by using miles to purchase top-shelf liquor, right? Well, yes, but it will now cost more. Previously we would get 2 cents per mile value that way, but now we’ll get 1.5 cents per mile.
Next, as if the award devaluations weren’t enough, Delta decided to devalue their Global Upgrade Certificates as of Feb 1, 2022. See: Delta Downgrades Upgrades (but there’s good news too).
American Airlines jumps the rails
While Alaska and Delta have made changes within current loyalty paradigms, AA has jumped the rails. Since the beginning of time (as marked by the beginning of airlines offering elite benefits to their best customers), airline loyalists earned elite status primarily by flying. Yes, there have been shortcuts available through high credit card spend, status matches, and other miscellaneous means, but flying has been the primary thing that airlines had been trying to incentivize. American Airlines is seemingly the first to acknowledge to the world that flyers are not necessarily their best customers. AA probably makes more money from those who use AA branded credit cards, shop the AA eShopping Portal, book hotels through various mechanisms that earn AA miles (such as Rocketmiles and BookAAHotels.com), etc. As a result, they’ve decoupled elite earnings from flying. I mean, you can still earn status through flying, but you can do equally well with almost any kind of spend that results in earning AA miles. See: AA’s Loyalty Point Pursuit game – Earn status w/out flying.
Hyatt doubles the pain, but deserves kudos anyway
We had plenty of warning that both category changes and peak and off-peak pricing were coming in march, but the combination of the two still stings. Many favorite category 4 properties will soon be category 5 and therefore unbookable with category 1-4 free night certificates. Worse, a number of the best Hyatt hotels will move from category 7 to 8. Previously, category 8 was created only for special circumstances (certain SLH properties, and later, certain Destination Residences). Now, though, the floodgates are open for any Hyatt brand to be assigned that category. Not only does this make award prices much more expensive, but it also takes those properties out of reach of category 1-7 free night certificates. Boo!
All that said, I still give kudos to Hyatt for keeping award charts at all. First Hilton dropped them, then IHG. Now Marriott is ditching them in March. I like award charts because they create an upper bound for how much a property can cost in points. No matter how expensive a property becomes for cash, as long as they have standard rooms available, they should still be bookable for a reasonable number of points.
Marriott giveth and taketh away
Marriott was first in announcing the intention to allow members to add points to free night certificates in order to book award nights. Even though this will be limited to 15,000 points per night that can be tacked on, this is a huge development. Until now, it has been extremely frustrating finding that places we wanted to stay with our 35K free night certificates were priced at 40K on the nights we wanted to go. Similarly, properties where we wanted to spend our 50K free night certificates often cost 60K. Sometime in “early 2022”, that will no longer be a barrier to anyone with a decent supply of Marriott points. We’ll be able to tack on some points and stay where we want. Maybe…
Marriott also announced that they would abandon award charts in March 2022. How much will our favorite hotels cost in points? Nobody knows. Award prices will be more closely tied to cash prices. So… maybe we’ll be able to use our free night certificates, but only if the hotels of interest have reasonable award prices. We’ll see.
For more, see: Marriott to drop award chart, add free night “top off”, extend free nights / status.
Hilton takes away Uncle Sam’s breakfast
For many years and among major chains, Hilton offered the easiest path to free breakfast… by far. Hilton’s Gold Elite status has long been super easy to get: simply sign up for a $95 per year Hilton credit card, or activate your Amex Platinum card’s Hilton Gold perk. And, until 2021, the best Gold status perk was easy to describe: get free breakfast at nearly any Hilton hotel worldwide (We didn’t need a “will I get free breakfast?” chart as is needed with Marriott).
Now, Gold status still means free breakfast when outside of the United States. Within the U.S., we instead get a food & beverage credit that will rarely be enough for free breakfast. Some will love this change, and others will hate hit. Regardless, it complicates Hilton’s Gold status value proposition. I don’t know why Hilton decided to mess with their one loyalty perk advantage over their competitors.
IHG makes its move
IHG is making huge positive changes to their Premier Card and they’re adding a new Premier Business Card. Starting March 24th, both cards will offer much higher point earnings, the ability to top-up 40K free night certificates with no cap, $50 per year in United TravelBank credit, and more. These are seriously exciting enhancements for a card that will continue to cost less than $100 (the annual fee will increase from $89 to $99).
Also coming in March is IHG’s new rewards program. So far, they’ve only announced a few planned changes, but more is coming soon. And, based on the positive credit card changes, I’m optimistic about IHG’s other changes. We’ll see!
For more, see: I’m excited about… IHG?!
The big picture
The loyalty landscape is changing in a big way. Simplifications that we used to believe will soon be lost: “Alaska offers the most valuable airline miles;” “The IHG card is good to keep for the free night, but not worth spending on;” “Hilton Gold status gives you free breakfast everywhere…” Those statements were true enough before, but not necessarily so going forward.
While there are some trends I dislike (such as the loss of award charts), there are changes happening that I hope will become trends:
- Elite status for customers rather than only for flyers. It’s not often that I’ve wanted other airlines to copy American Airlines, but I think they have the right approach here.
- Award flights become first class citizens. Delta is currently allowing members to accumulate elite earnings on award flights and to upgrade those flights with upgrade certificates. This is an awesome direction that should have happened years ago. I hope that other airlines copy this.
- More flexible free night certificates. Both IHG and Marriott have promised to make their free night certificates more flexible by letting us add points to them to book higher priced hotels. I’d love to see Hyatt do something similar. For example, let us use a cat 1-4 cert at a category 5 property for 5,000 extra points, and let us use a cat 107 cert at a category 8 property for 10,000 extra points. And Hilton should either stop limiting their free nights to weekends (as they did during the pandemic and for any issued this year) or provide some other way to make the certificates easier to use. And Radisson should expand their “U.S. only” restriction to at least all of the Radisson Americas properties.
Will any of these developments become trends? Probably not, but we can hope…
This is all terrible.
Just because Marriott will allow adding 15K points to a 35K certificate does not mean it will be easily usable. Watch for how many Marriotts will be charging 51K points (just like IHG did). And with no award chart, points could be worth as much as Hilton points.
Hyatt – terrible for California properties and very bad for US locations in general.
IHG – I would not get too excited, but will wait and see.
Alaska, Delta … very bad news for almost everyone.
Soon we will all be just using cash back cards and Cap One with VentureX and Spark Cash Business may work out the best.
What properties are under the Marriott and Hilton headers? It’d be great if you captioned every property photo with the property name. Thanks!
Good suggestion. I added captions to most of them, but I’m not sure what the IHG property is.
I’m pretty much resigned to not bothering to try to collect points and miles, only gathering them as incidental to traveling. 2% cash back can only be devalued at the rate of inflation.
Then why are you here? In case you didn’t notice, inflation has spiked, so your cash is devaluing rapidly too.
The good thing is that it’s an *after-tax* 2%, which is at least a positive return even after inflation is taken into account. 🙂
You could get a higher cash back return on travel than 2%, though.
Works well for Air travel.One card 2010 RT to EU and 2022 One card RT to EU.Hotels no thanks had a lot of 5 nites FREE !!!!!!!!!!!
While it’s understandable that these sorts of changes are simply facts of life, it seems that loyalty programs are aiming to cut costs by widely devaluing the perks that come from earning elite status.
I’m more than a little puzzled by this. When elite status offers an above average experience, consumers are encouraged to prefer that brand over others and be loyal to it. When the value of elite status begins to fall, wouldn’t brand loyalty logically follow?
Admittedly, the idea of earning some sort of airline status has always had a certain appeal to me. However, when I crunch the numbers… there simply isn’t enough for me to justify going out of my way to give any particular airline my loyalty. So I take my flights, get my miles, and move on with life. If I really want an elite experience, I can just transfer points from Amex, Chase, Citi, CapOne, etc..
Hotels look to be going the same way now. As the unique perks of having elite status begin to wane, it seems the only reward we can expect from staying with a particular brand will simply be accumulating points. Transferable points in this arena don’t go nearly as far. So when is the juice no longer worth the squeeze?
For some time, I’ve noted that hotel loyalty programs and property owners will continue on their path of denying elite benefits (even when properly they should be granted) or outright elimination of elite benefits until it moves their revenue needle. And, their revenue needles won’t move because, when frustrated, *we* simply leave one brand and go to another, which averages out to the programs / owners. *We* don’t leave the system. So, why should they care?
Retired Gambler also notes that *we* — adept points enthusiasts — only account for a small percentage of hotel revenues. So, again, why should they care?
To be fair, there are some properties that play nice. But, by and large, hotel loyalty programs are false promises and have been reduced to being purely about points — nothing more — IF one can even redeem points at one’s property of choice (referring to the award inventory “management” that occurs).
I’ve advocated that individuals find their own Plan B, which will depend on their circumstances. There’s no silver bullet. Some have criticized me for beating the drum too long. But, there are new readers to the community who have not yet learned the truth and my intention is simply to help them avoid frustration.
I still believe it’s good to be a free agent and not be loyal to any one airline or hotel. Pick and choose the best redemption every time and use the new changes to your advantage.
The one thing for certain is that nothing stays the same for ever (or very long).
This was an incredibly informative post. Thanks for putting this all together. I actually didn’t know delta had extended the status earn on award flights.
I am not optimistic regarding Marriott and the ability to top off of certificates. With the current Marriott award charts/pricing, yes, that really would work out nicely with all the hotels pricing out at 40K and 55-60K in points. However after the deval, the pricing will change such that those hotels/nights will still be out of reach even with a combo of cert + points. Or worse yet that 35K hotel night you find, will now cost 45-50K, and that 55-60K property will be 80-85K (who knows)…so in the near future one will be using a cert AND extra miles, when previously might have just used the cert alone for that same room. Sorry for being pessimistic, but look at their track record…maybe place this in the ‘predictions’ file, and revisit as needed.
There is constant change and the programs really aren’t geared for elite members (and I am lifetime elite AA&DL, lifetime Marriott Titanium and Hilton Diamond). They are bottom line business tools to extract as much loyalty as possible and maximize revenue. There is constant modeling about cost and changes to these programs. When changes are made, even if blogs like this don’t like them, I assure you they have been well thought out and a decision has been made it is best for business. Understand people that actually “game” the system (and I use that in a positive spin this time) to maximize point/mile value are probably 1% of people in the programs. Then you have people that travel who never join. Bottom line you are a very small minority of their customers.
The only constant is change. You can bemoan the fact things aren’t as good as they used to be or that your “free” miles don’t take you as far (they are free after all so use them for whatever value you can – I don’t consider spending “earning” miles – you get them as a result).
BTW I started traveling in the mid 80s and remember 1000 mile minimums on all segments, triple mile promotions, ability to get upgraded on DL and actually earn more miles by doing it (had 2500 mile certificates that could be used to upgrade and if you had a connection you got 4000 miles minimum, since you earned double miles for first even using the certificate, resulting in at least a +1500 mile benefit while sitting in first). Bottom line, I’ve seen better benefits disappear constantly and it won’t stop. You can accept it, quit traveling or be one of those that swears the won’t fly/stay with xxxxxxxxx anymore. Doesn’t change their bottom line materially and just inconveniences you but have it your way
I’m glad someone else is also singing this song (regarding the hotel loyalty programs). Thanks. Hotel owners will continue on their path until their revenue needle moves . . . but that isn’t going to happen because (as you state) *we* make up a small percentage of their overall revenue base. I’ve encouraged readers to find their own Plan B as I have. But, for most, this won’t happen because they are mentally enslaved by the tier status / points paradigm.
@ Greg — After the great AA mileage sale, massive ongoing AS devaluation, and DL GPU devaluation, I have realized that it’s time to use points/miles for first class flights and otherwise minimize spend on airline status. With a large stash of AA miles, 3-years’ paid OW Emerald/Sapphire from Finnair, enough DL MQMs for 2 years of Platinum status (with $30k annual spend per person for MQD waivers and Reserve lounge access), and lifetime *G from UA, it is difficult to justify spending much cash on airlines. Our spend will mainly be for hotels, when the points deals aren’t so good. The airlines have killed their golden goose, and hotels are right might them….
*Right behind them…
Beware the Ides of March!
Also, your headline should be “IHG Makes Its Move “ , not “Makes It’s Move”.
That’s a good title!
And, thanks, fixed the error. Its always hard to get apostrophe’s right 😉
Ju’st put one in front of every ‘s and you can’t go wrong.
I am ‘so, ‘so happy that ‘someone el’se point thi’s out and it didn’t have to be me!
Now if Andre could only put his “ in the right place!
OMG! Really, Pam?
Yes…gramatically speaking (since you were on Greg), “ goes INSIDE, “IHG Makes Its Move.”
is incorrect. “ always go outside other punctuation
Thank you! It’s crap like this that makes me hesitate to comment on blogs. Know your stuff before you come after someone..
Actually, a question mark or exclamation point is within closing quotation marks if the punctuation applies to the quotation itself.
No ‘ in plurals. 😀
Speaking of the Idea of March, Brutus was right.